Option selling · NIFTY weekly (expiry day) · tested 2019-02 to 2026-10
Expiry-day ₹55 strangle with stop to cost
As taught, 1 lot made about ₹2.42 L net over 402 expiry days with a 66% win rate and drawdown under ₹10k.
- Net P&L (1 lot, lot size of the day)
- ₹2.42 L
- Trades
- 402
- Win rate
- 65.7%
- Max drawdown
- −₹9,558
What the video claims
Every year positive 2019-2026, about 66% win rate, max drawdown about 5.8%.
Our paraphrase. See the video for the full explanation.
How our test compares
Same 66% win rate; total about 128% on ₹2 L vs their ~130%, drawdown about 4.7% vs 5.8%, and 2026 is the weakest year in both.
Year by year (rules as taught, after costs)
| 2019 | ₹35,857 |
| 2020 | ₹24,730 |
| 2021 | ₹44,516 |
| 2022 | ₹40,935 |
| 2023 | ₹21,445 |
| 2024 | ₹21,646 |
| 2025 | ₹36,567 |
| 2026 | ₹16,447 |
Rules we tested
On weekly expiry day at 09:20 sell the call and put priced closest to ₹55. Each leg has a 50% stop; when one stops out, the other leg's stop moves to its entry price. Exit 15:29; naked. Gaps we filled: lot size of each date, about ₹2 L capital for % figures.
Note: Naked; return on full exchange margin is modest (high single digits per year).
Method
1-minute data, next-minute-open fills, gapped stops filled at the open, real broker charges incl. STT and taxes plus slippage.
- 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
- Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
- Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
- Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.