Fact Check

Option selling · NIFTY monthly · tested 2019-01 to 2026-10

Monthly 15-delta strangle with wings and adjustments

Does not hold after costsWatch the video

As taught, the rules made about ₹900 over 2021–25 and ₹70k from Jan-2019 to Oct-2026, with a ₹65k drawdown.

Net P&L (1 lot (lot size of the time))
₹70,407
Trades
91
Win rate
66.0%
Max drawdown
−₹64,558

What the video claims

About ₹3.1 lakh profit over 2021–2025.

Our paraphrase. See the video for the full explanation.

How our test compares

For 2021–25 we got about +₹0.9k per lot versus the claimed ₹3.1 lakh; a 15-delta monthly strangle collects only about ₹5–8k premium per lot per month, so the claim likely assumes several lots or different rules.

Cumulative P&L, rules as taught (after costs)₹70,407
2019-02-012026-10-19

Year by year (rules as taught, after costs)

2019₹23,211
2020₹33,684
2021₹2,339
2022−₹458
2023−₹1,678
2024₹19,584
2025−₹18,869
2026₹12,594

Rules we tested

On monthly expiry day, sell next-month calls and puts near 15 delta and buy far wings. If one short doubles, book the other and re-sell at the loser's delta; if a short's delta passes 0.45, close both and re-sell at half the loser's premium. Exit at 15:15 on the third weekly expiry, no hard stop. Assumptions: one decision per day at 15:15, wings at the farthest strikes available in our data, delta from implied volatility.

Note: Video lot count and capital not stated; the very cheap wings shown were not available in our data, so wings cost more.

Method

Option data checked once a day at 15:15 with fills at that bar's open, real broker charges incl. STT and taxes, slippage of the larger of ₹0.5 or 1% per fill.

  • 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
  • Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
  • Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
  • Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.