Option buying · NIFTY weekly · tested 2017-01 to 2026-10
ITM ₹180 premium breakout
From 2017 to Oct 2026 the as-taught rules won 43% of 1,315 trades and lost about ₹39.8k per lot after costs.
- Net P&L (1 lot)
- −₹39,769
- Trades
- 1,315
- Win rate
- 43.2%
- Max drawdown
- −₹67,402
What the video claims
A 70–75% win rate.
Our paraphrase. See the video for the full explanation.
How our test compares
The video shows no backtest; our engine reproduced its live example days (same strikes and entry times), but the win rate came out at 43%, not 70–75%.
Rules we tested
At 09:25 mark the in-the-money call and put nearest ₹180; from 09:30 buy whichever crosses ₹180 first, stop 20 points, target 40 points, exit 09:45. 'Sustaining above' was not defined, so we used a touch; we assumed a last entry at 09:40.
Note: Before costs the result is roughly break-even; costs of about ₹55 per trade decide it.
Method
1-minute option data, broker charges incl. STT and taxes, 0.25% slippage per order, 1 lot.
- 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
- Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
- Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
- Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.