Fact Check

Option buying · SENSEX weekly (expiry day) · tested 2024-05 to 2026-10

SENSEX expiry-day premium range breakout

Does not hold after costsWatch the video

With realistic fills, the as-taught call and put sides together made about ₹17.2k per lot from May 2024 to Oct 2026, with the call side near zero.

Net P&L (1 lot (20 units) per side)
₹17,219
Trades
109
Win rate
—
Max drawdown
—

What the video claims

Over May 2025–May 2026 on 1 lot: calls about ₹20.7k (70% wins), puts about ₹9k–15.7k.

Our paraphrase. See the video for the full explanation.

How our test compares

Filling exactly at the breakout price as their tester does, we matched their trade counts and win rate and got more than their call profit; with fills at the next minute's open the call side fell to ₹15.9k and the put side to −₹2.2k on their window.

Rules we tested

On expiry day pick the ATM call and put at 09:16; each option's range is its high from 09:16 to 10:45 (call) or 10:35 (put), bought on a break of that high. Each side has a ₹1,950 max loss, ₹3,250 target and a ₹650 lock after ₹1,300 profit, exit 15:15; the fill model was not stated.

Note: Call side ₹826 (max DD −₹21k), put side ₹16.4k (max DD −₹13.4k) over 126 expiry days.

Method

1-minute option data, signal on candle close and fill at the next minute's open, broker charges incl. STT and taxes, 0.25% slippage per order.

  • 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
  • Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
  • Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
  • Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.