Fact Check

Option buying · NIFTY weekly · tested 2019-02 to 2026-10

Double Supertrend flip scalp

Could not reproduceWatch the video

The as-taught rules lost about ₹3.07 L per lot with ATM options from Feb 2019 to Oct 2026, winning 35% of trades.

Net P&L (1 lot)
−₹3.07 L
Trades
6,108
Win rate
35.0%
Max drawdown
−₹3.20 L

What the video claims

About 62% wins on 9,145 trades, 2015–Aug 2025, +79k index points.

Our paraphrase. See the video for the full explanation.

How our test compares

In index points we got 34% wins and about +673 points vs their 62% and +79k; several of their example trades matched ours to the paisa, so the data agrees but the win rate does not.

Cumulative P&L, rules as taught (after costs)−₹3.07 L
2019-02-152026-10-23

Year by year (rules as taught, after costs)

2019₹11,241
2020−₹66,466
2021−₹34,229
2022−₹64,254
2023−₹26,150
2024−₹33,004
2025−₹43,662
2026−₹50,037

Rules we tested

On the 5-minute NIFTY chart, enter when Supertrend(10,1) and (10,3) agree and one just flipped, on a strong candle, before 14:00, one trade at a time; stop 10 and target 20 index points, short side mirrored. The candle-strength score was not disclosed, so we used close-in-range; options traded as ATM weekly.

Note: A 62% win rate on a 1:2 stop/target was not found in the data even under the most favourable reading.

Method

1-minute index and option data, entries at the next minute's open, broker charges incl. STT and taxes; gross was about +₹66k before ₹3.7 L of costs.

  • 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
  • Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
  • Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
  • Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.