Fact Check

Option buying · NIFTY + SENSEX weekly · tested 2020-01 to 2026-10

First 30-second candle breakout

Does not hold after costsWatch the video

As taught on NIFTY the rule lost about ₹62.8k per lot from 2020 to 2026 despite a 59% win rate.

Net P&L (1 lot (NIFTY))
−₹62,800
Trades
955
Win rate
58.7%
Max drawdown
−₹72,700

What the video claims

Two winning stock-option examples; no backtest shown.

Our paraphrase. See the video for the full explanation.

How our test compares

There is no total to compare; small +10% wins did not cover time-exit losses and costs. SENSEX (2024–26) also lost about ₹22.3k.

Rules we tested

The 9:15:00–9:15:29 candle's colour picks an ATM call (green) or put (red); buy when the option breaks its own first-30-second high, target +10%, exit by 9:30, no stop stated. Taught for stock options; we applied it to the indices with instant fills on the break.

Note: The video says the method is meant for stock options rather than indices.

Method

1-second tick data, instant stop-order fills from 9:15:30, real broker charges incl. STT and taxes, 0.25% slippage.

  • 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
  • Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
  • Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
  • Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.