Option buying · NIFTY weekly · tested 2019-01 to 2026-10
15-min two-colour range breakdown
The index-point edge reproduces, but as an ATM put buy the rule lost about ₹1.55 lakh per lot from 2019 to Oct 2026.
- Net P&L (1 lot)
- −₹1.55 L
- Trades
- —
- Win rate
- —
- Max drawdown
- −₹2.42 L
What the video claims
+2,463 NIFTY points over 399 trades (Dec 2024 – Apr 2026).
Our paraphrase. See the video for the full explanation.
How our test compares
In index points we got +2,105 over 388 trades vs their +2,463 over 399, with most early trades matching to 0.1 point.
Rules we tested
Two back-to-back opposite-colour 15-min candles form a range; within two candles, a close below the range low is a short (we bought an ATM put). Stop at range high, target 3× risk, else exit at day end, max 2 trades/day. No strike was given; the video counts index points only.
Note: About 6 points per trade is too small to survive option decay and costs.
Method
1-min data, fills at the next minute's open, real broker charges incl. STT and taxes, 0.25% slippage.
- 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
- Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
- Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
- Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.