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BUSTED BY COSTS

Next-week ₹25 strangle with stop to cost

Option selling · NIFTY next-week · tested 2019-02 to 2026-10

The claim

₹2.98 L

About ₹2.98 L on 1 lot from 2019 to Aug-2026 with a profit factor of about 2.1.

Reality, same dates, after costs

₹77,012

2019-01 to 2026-08 · 26% of the claim found

As taught, 1 lot made about ₹78k net after real costs from 2019 to Oct-2026 (about ₹10k a year).

56SHAKY

Algrow Reality Score

8/40
claim
21/30
profit
27/30
steady
Net, full test
₹78,197
Worst drawdown
−₹27,326
Trades
1,870
Win rate
53.8%

Size: 1 lot, lot size of the day.

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How our test compares with the video

With stops filled exactly at the stop and no costs we got ₹2.81 L vs their ₹2.98 L (profit factor 2.16 vs 2.10); realistic gapped stops removed about ₹53k and costs about ₹1.36 L.

Worth knowing: Very cost-sensitive because premiums are small; one gap day (7-Apr-2025) cost about ₹25k.

Equity curve — rules as taught, after costs2026-10-30 · ₹78,197 · −₹5,472 from peak

Underwater: how far below its best point the account was

2019-02-15worst −₹26,6022026-10-30

If you had started with ₹1 lakh on…

Drag to pick a start date. Trading the video's rules at 1 lot, lot size of the day, not compounded. Weekly points.

2019-02-15

You'd have today

₹1.77 L

Profit / loss

+₹76,582

Lowest point

₹93,749

Honest note: ₹1 lakh may be less than the margin this needs; the result is in rupees per lot, not a % return.

What costs did to it

2019 to Aug 2026, 1 lot. Window differs from the headline total.

  • Before costs
    ₹2.8L
  • Stops filled after gaps
    −₹53k
  • Charges, STT & slippage
    −₹1.4L
  • What you keep
    ₹92k

Costs ate 67% of the profit before costs.

Year by year — tap to dig in

1 lot, rules as taught, after costs. Tap a year, then a month.

Monthly heatmap

JFMAMJJASOND
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026

Winning vs losing days

1,867 days with a position · about 48% green

−₹1k₹0₹1k+

BEST DAY

₹2,282

2025-02-01

WORST DAY

−₹25,345

2025-04-07

The rules we tested

At 09:16 sell the next-week NIFTY call and put priced ≤ ₹25, each with a 10-point stop; when one leg stops, the other leg's stop moves to its entry; exit 15:15, no re-entry. Gaps we filled: fill at the 09:18 open, gapped stops fill at the open.

Method and Reality Score

Full method: how we test

1-minute data, next-minute fills, gapped stops filled at the open, real broker charges incl. STT and taxes plus 0.5% slippage.

  • 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
  • Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
  • Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
  • Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.

Reality Score (0–100) = claim match (up to 40: matches 40, partly 25, fails after costs 8, not reproduced 0) + after-cost profit (up to 30: zero if it loses; more when total profit is large versus the worst drawdown) + steadiness (up to 30: share of profitable years, plus 5 if the latest year made money).

Questions people ask

Does the Next-week ₹25 strangle with stop to cost strategy work?

Not as taught, once real charges are included. As taught, 1 lot made about ₹78k net after real costs from 2019 to Oct-2026 (about ₹10k a year). Tested on NIFTY next-week, 2019-02 to 2026-10, after real costs. Reality Score 56/100.

What is the win rate of the Next-week ₹25 strangle with stop to cost strategy after costs?

53.8% of 1,870 trades made money after real charges in our test (2019-02 to 2026-10). A high or low win rate alone says little; the net result was ₹78,197 with a worst drawdown of −₹27,326.

How much did it make or lose in the backtest?

Claimed ₹2.98 L. Reality ₹77,012. Over 2019-02 to 2026-10 (1 lot, lot size of the day), the net after charges was ₹78,197 and the worst fall from a peak was −₹27,326.

What exact rules were tested?

At 09:16 sell the next-week NIFTY call and put priced ≤ ₹25, each with a 10-point stop; when one leg stops, the other leg's stop moves to its entry; exit 15:15, no re-entry. Gaps we filled: fill at the 09:18 open, gapped stops fill at the open.

How was the Next-week ₹25 strangle with stop to cost backtest done?

On 1-minute exchange data since 2017, signals filled at the next minute's open, with real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fee, stamp duty and GST, and the lot size of each date. Rules exactly as taught; gaps we had to fill are stated. Full method on our How we test page.

Run it yourself

Opens our backtester with this video's rules as taught, ready to run. Change dates or stops and see what happens. Default charges are used, so totals can differ a little from this page.

Open with these rules

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