HALF TRUE
Heikin-Ashi + MACD monthly credit spreads
Option selling · NIFTY monthly · tested 2017-06 to 2026-10
The claim
Roughly ₹28k (2022), ₹3.37 lakh (2023), ₹1.44 lakh (2024) and ₹3.47 lakh (2025) on ₹6–7 lakh capital.
Our test, after costs
₹2.04 L
2017-06 to 2026-10 · 1 lot (lot size of each expiry)
As taught, the rules made about ₹2.04 lakh per lot from Jun-2017 to Oct-2026, including a ₹60k loss in 2021.
Algrow Reality Score
- 25/40
- claim
- 19/30
- profit
- 28/30
- steady
- Net, full test
- ₹2.04 L
- Worst drawdown
- −₹86,108
- Trades
- —
- Win rate
- —
Size: 1 lot (lot size of each expiry).
How our test compares with the video
For 2022–25 we got ₹1.38 lakh per lot, about ₹9.65 lakh at ~7 lots versus the claimed ₹8.56 lakh; the year-by-year split differs and the video gives no lot count or trade list.
Worth knowing: Drawdown of about ₹86k per lot came from a run of whipsaws in 2021.
Underwater: how far below its best point the account was
If you had started with ₹1 lakh on…
Drag to pick a start date. Trading the video's rules at 1 lot (lot size of each expiry), not compounded. Weekly points.
2017-06-02
You'd have today
₹3.05 L
Profit / loss
+₹2.05 L
Lowest point
₹99,261
Honest note: ₹1 lakh may be less than the margin this needs; the result is in rupees per lot, not a % return.
Year by year — tap to dig in
1 lot, rules as taught, after costs. Tap a year, then a month.
Monthly heatmap
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
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Winning vs losing days
2,216 days with a position · about 68% green
BEST DAY
₹8,547
2020-11-19
WORST DAY
−₹14,549
2019-09-20
The rules we tested
On a 2-hour Heikin-Ashi NIFTY chart with MACD (12,26,9), a bullish crossover followed by a break of that candle's high opens a bull put spread, and a bearish crossover plus break of the low opens a bear call spread. Monthly expiry, net credit 90–145, legs up to 500 apart, always in the market via stop-and-reverse, rolled to next month in the third week. Assumptions: 1 lot at each expiry's lot size, 500-wide spreads, candles from 09:15, nearest credit taken if none fits the band.
Method and Reality Score
1-minute data, signals on closed candles filled at the next minute's open, real broker charges incl. STT and taxes, 0.25% slippage, daily mark-to-market.
- 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
- Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
- Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
- Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.
Reality Score (0–100) = claim match (up to 40: matches 40, partly 25, fails after costs 8, not reproduced 0) + after-cost profit (up to 30: zero if it loses; more when total profit is large versus the worst drawdown) + steadiness (up to 30: share of profitable years, plus 5 if the latest year made money).
Questions people ask
Does the Heikin-Ashi + MACD monthly credit spreads strategy work?
Partly. As taught, the rules made about ₹2.04 lakh per lot from Jun-2017 to Oct-2026, including a ₹60k loss in 2021. Tested on NIFTY monthly, 2017-06 to 2026-10, after real costs. Reality Score 72/100.
What is the win rate of the Heikin-Ashi + MACD monthly credit spreads strategy after costs?
We did not count a per-trade win rate for this one; the net result after real charges was ₹2.04 L with a worst drawdown of −₹86,108.
How much did it make or lose in the backtest?
Our test: ₹2.04 L after real costs. Over 2017-06 to 2026-10 (1 lot (lot size of each expiry)), the net after charges was ₹2.04 L and the worst fall from a peak was −₹86,108.
What exact rules were tested?
On a 2-hour Heikin-Ashi NIFTY chart with MACD (12,26,9), a bullish crossover followed by a break of that candle's high opens a bull put spread, and a bearish crossover plus break of the low opens a bear call spread. Monthly expiry, net credit 90–145, legs up to 500 apart, always in the market via stop-and-reverse, rolled to next month in the third week. Assumptions: 1 lot at each expiry's lot size, 500-wide spreads, candles from 09:15, nearest credit taken if none fits the band.
How was the Heikin-Ashi + MACD monthly credit spreads backtest done?
On 1-minute exchange data since 2017, signals filled at the next minute's open, with real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fee, stamp duty and GST, and the lot size of each date. Rules exactly as taught; gaps we had to fill are stated. Full method on our How we test page.
Run it yourself — coming soon
These rules use features our public backtester can't express exactly yet, so we won't pre-fill an approximation. Build your own idea in the meantime.
Got another video?
Send the link or vote on the queue. We code it as taught and publish what we find.
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