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BUSTED BY COSTS

NIFTY 15-min Supertrend + Stochastic RSI

Futures · NIFTY futures · tested 2017-01 to 2026-10

The claim

Over 300% in three years on ₹1.5 L.

Our test, after costs

−₹13.31 L

2017-01 to 2026-10 · 1 lot, historical lot sizes

As taught (intraday), 1 lot lost about ₹13.3 L after real costs over ~10 years, losing in 9 of 10 years.

10BUSTED

Algrow Reality Score

8/40
claim
0/30
profit
2/30
steady
Net, full test
−₹13.31 L
Worst drawdown
−₹13.50 L
Trades
—
Win rate
—

Size: 1 lot, historical lot sizes.

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How our test compares with the video

The intraday version loses even in the creator's own test (profit factor 0.92; ours 0.87). The 300% figure comes from switching the intraday exit off and holding overnight; that version also loses after costs (about −₹47k).

Worth knowing: Costs are about ₹1,500 a trade at 2026 STT.

📈 Equity curve rules as taught, after costs2026-10-30 · −₹13.31 L · −₹13.34 L from peak

Underwater: how far below its best point the account was

2017-01-06worst −₹13.41 L2026-10-30

🎯 If you had started with ₹1 lakh on…

Drag to pick a start date. Trading the video's rules at 1 lot, historical lot sizes, not compounded. Weekly points.

2017-01-06

You'd have today

−₹12.30 L

Profit / loss

−₹13.30 L

Lowest point

−₹12.37 L

⚠️ The account would have been wiped out at some point — ₹1 lakh was not enough to survive the drawdown.

📅 Year by year — tap to dig in

Green years, red years — no hiding. 1 lot, rules as taught, after costs. Tap a year, then a month.

−₹88k’17−₹1.8L’18−₹2.4L’19💥+₹4k’20🏆−₹1.4L’21−₹1.6L’22−₹59k’23−₹1.2L’24−₹1.9L’25−₹1.6L’26

🔥 Monthly heatmap

Every month in rupees (cells in ₹ thousand). 🏆 best and 💥 worst month are outlined. Tap a cell for its days.

JFMAMJJASONDYear
’17−88k
’18−1.8L
’19−2.4L
’20+4k
’21−1.4L
’22−1.6L
’23−59k
’24−1.2L
’25−1.9L
’26−1.6L
−73k+73k

🏆 Best month Mar 2020 ₹73k💥 Worst month Sep 2019 −₹70k

🎲 Winning vs losing days

1,663 days with a position · about 51% green

−₹14k₹0₹14k+

BEST DAY

₹42,165

2026-02-01

WORST DAY

−₹42,250

2019-09-20

The rules we tested

15-min chart. Long when Supertrend(10,3) is green and Stochastic RSI K and D are both below 20; short when red and both above 80. Intraday exit at the close.

Method and Reality Score

Full method: how we test

1-minute futures data, front-month contract rolled near expiry, real NSE lot size of each date, real broker charges incl. STT (0.05% from Apr-2026), exchange fees, stamp duty and GST, plus small slippage; signals on candle close.

  • 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
  • Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
  • Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
  • Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.

Reality Score (0–100) = claim match (up to 40: matches 40, partly 25, fails after costs 8, not reproduced 0) + after-cost profit (up to 30: zero if it loses; more when total profit is large versus the worst drawdown) + steadiness (up to 30: share of profitable years, plus 5 if the latest year made money).

Questions people ask

Does the NIFTY 15-min Supertrend + Stochastic RSI strategy work?

Not as taught, once real charges are included. As taught (intraday), 1 lot lost about ₹13.3 L after real costs over ~10 years, losing in 9 of 10 years. Tested on NIFTY futures, 2017-01 to 2026-10, after real costs. Reality Score 10/100.

What is the win rate of the NIFTY 15-min Supertrend + Stochastic RSI strategy after costs?

We did not count a per-trade win rate for this one; the net result after real charges was −₹13.31 L with a worst drawdown of −₹13.50 L.

How much did it make or lose in the backtest?

Our test: −₹13.31 L after real costs. Over 2017-01 to 2026-10 (1 lot, historical lot sizes), the net after charges was −₹13.31 L and the worst fall from a peak was −₹13.50 L.

What exact rules were tested?

15-min chart. Long when Supertrend(10,3) is green and Stochastic RSI K and D are both below 20; short when red and both above 80. Intraday exit at the close.

How was the NIFTY 15-min Supertrend + Stochastic RSI backtest done?

On 1-minute exchange data since 2017, signals filled at the next minute's open, with real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fee, stamp duty and GST, and the lot size of each date. Rules exactly as taught; gaps we had to fill are stated. Full method on our How we test page.

Run it yourself — coming soon

These rules use features our public backtester can't express exactly yet, so we won't pre-fill an approximation. Build your own idea in the meantime.

Got another video?

Send the link or vote on the queue. We code it as taught and publish what we find.

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