HALF TRUE
₹100 option +50% overnight momentum
Option buying · NIFTY weekly · tested 2017-01 to 2026-10
The claim
Bank Nifty 2017–2025 about ₹12.9 L net, 1,588 trades, 42.7% wins, max drawdown about ₹64k.
Our test, after costs
₹7.75 L
2017-01 to 2026-10 · 1 lot per leg, historical lot sizes
Applied to NIFTY weekly, the as-taught rules made about ₹7.75 L per lot from 2017 to Oct 2026 and every year was positive.
Algrow Reality Score
- 25/40
- claim
- 30/30
- profit
- 30/30
- steady
- Net, full test
- ₹7.75 L
- Worst drawdown
- −₹54,492
- Trades
- 1,228
- Win rate
- 47.0%
Size: 1 lot per leg, historical lot sizes.
How our test compares with the video
On Bank Nifty 2017–25 with their costs we got ₹8.7 L vs their ₹12.9 L; the year shape matches (2020 best, 2025 weakest) and the gap is mostly position size.
Worth knowing: Profit is fat-tailed: a few large gap days make most of it. The curve includes 2 trades (≈₹6.8k) later excluded for missing data.
Underwater: how far below its best point the account was
If you had started with ₹1 lakh on…
Drag to pick a start date. Trading the video's rules at 1 lot per leg, historical lot sizes, not compounded. Weekly points.
2017-02-10
You'd have today
₹8.86 L
Profit / loss
+₹7.86 L
Lowest point
₹89,681
Honest note: ₹1 lakh may be less than the margin this needs; the result is in rupees per lot, not a % return.
Year by year — tap to dig in
1 lot, rules as taught, after costs. Tap a year, then a month.
Monthly heatmap
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
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Winning vs losing days
1,127 days with a position · about 40% green
BEST DAY
₹73,729
2020-03-13
WORST DAY
−₹16,192
2026-01-22
The rules we tested
At 09:20 mark the call and put nearest ₹100; buy whichever rises 50% (both if both), stop 50% below entry, sell at 09:25 next day. We skip entries in a contract expiring that day and use the next week's contract instead.
Method and Reality Score
1-minute option data, signal on a minute close above the trigger and fill at the next minute's open, broker charges incl. STT and taxes, 0.5% slippage per order, stops filled at the stop or worse on gaps.
- 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
- Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
- Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
- Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.
Reality Score (0–100) = claim match (up to 40: matches 40, partly 25, fails after costs 8, not reproduced 0) + after-cost profit (up to 30: zero if it loses; more when total profit is large versus the worst drawdown) + steadiness (up to 30: share of profitable years, plus 5 if the latest year made money).
Questions people ask
Does the ₹100 option +50% overnight momentum strategy work?
Partly. Applied to NIFTY weekly, the as-taught rules made about ₹7.75 L per lot from 2017 to Oct 2026 and every year was positive. Tested on NIFTY weekly, 2017-01 to 2026-10, after real costs. Reality Score 85/100.
What is the win rate of the ₹100 option +50% overnight momentum strategy after costs?
47.0% of 1,228 trades made money after real charges in our test (2017-01 to 2026-10). A high or low win rate alone says little; the net result was ₹7.75 L with a worst drawdown of −₹54,492.
How much did it make or lose in the backtest?
Our test: ₹7.75 L after real costs. Over 2017-01 to 2026-10 (1 lot per leg, historical lot sizes), the net after charges was ₹7.75 L and the worst fall from a peak was −₹54,492.
What exact rules were tested?
At 09:20 mark the call and put nearest ₹100; buy whichever rises 50% (both if both), stop 50% below entry, sell at 09:25 next day. We skip entries in a contract expiring that day and use the next week's contract instead.
How was the ₹100 option +50% overnight momentum backtest done?
On 1-minute exchange data since 2017, signals filled at the next minute's open, with real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fee, stamp duty and GST, and the lot size of each date. Rules exactly as taught; gaps we had to fill are stated. Full method on our How we test page.
Run it yourself — coming soon
These rules use features our public backtester can't express exactly yet, so we won't pre-fill an approximation. Build your own idea in the meantime.
Got another video?
Send the link or vote on the queue. We code it as taught and publish what we find.
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