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14:55 candle breakout

Option buying · NIFTY weekly · tested 2017-01 to 2026-10

The claim

Chart examples only; no P&L, win rate or period claimed.

Our test, after costs

₹17,861

2017-01 to 2026-10 · 1 lot

As taught, the rule netted about ₹17.9k per lot over nearly 10 years and lost about ₹18.5k since the Aug-2026 session change.

31WEAK

Algrow Reality Score

8/40
claim
13/30
profit
10/30
steady
Net, full test
₹17,861
Worst drawdown
−₹28,098
Trades
1,927
Win rate
41.7%

Size: 1 lot.

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How our test compares with the video

Our signals matched the video on every example day shown; the option P&L on those days was mixed.

Worth knowing: After the closing session moved in Aug 2026, late-day index rules no longer behave the same.

The rules we tested

Mark the high and low of the 14:55–15:00 5-min candle; if the next candle breaks the high by ~4 points buy a call, the low a put. Stop at the other end of the candle, skip candles larger than ~55 points, exit at 15:15. We assumed ATM strike, nearest expiry.

Method and Reality Score

Full method: how we test

1-min data, fills at the next minute's open, real broker charges incl. STT and taxes, 0.25% slippage.

  • 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
  • Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
  • Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
  • Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.

Reality Score (0–100) = claim match (up to 40: matches 40, partly 25, fails after costs 8, not reproduced 0) + after-cost profit (up to 30: zero if it loses; more when total profit is large versus the worst drawdown) + steadiness (up to 30: share of profitable years, plus 5 if the latest year made money).

Questions people ask

Does the 14:55 candle breakout strategy work?

Not as taught, once real charges are included. As taught, the rule netted about ₹17.9k per lot over nearly 10 years and lost about ₹18.5k since the Aug-2026 session change. Tested on NIFTY weekly, 2017-01 to 2026-10, after real costs. Reality Score 31/100.

What is the win rate of the 14:55 candle breakout strategy after costs?

41.7% of 1,927 trades made money after real charges in our test (2017-01 to 2026-10). A high or low win rate alone says little; the net result was ₹17,861 with a worst drawdown of −₹28,098.

How much did it make or lose in the backtest?

Our test: ₹17,861 after real costs. Over 2017-01 to 2026-10 (1 lot), the net after charges was ₹17,861 and the worst fall from a peak was −₹28,098.

What exact rules were tested?

Mark the high and low of the 14:55–15:00 5-min candle; if the next candle breaks the high by ~4 points buy a call, the low a put. Stop at the other end of the candle, skip candles larger than ~55 points, exit at 15:15. We assumed ATM strike, nearest expiry.

How was the 14:55 candle breakout backtest done?

On 1-minute exchange data since 2017, signals filled at the next minute's open, with real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fee, stamp duty and GST, and the lot size of each date. Rules exactly as taught; gaps we had to fill are stated. Full method on our How we test page.

Run it yourself — coming soon

These rules use features our public backtester can't express exactly yet, so we won't pre-fill an approximation. Build your own idea in the meantime.

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