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14:55 candle breakout backtest: does it work after costs?

We coded the 14:55 candle breakout strategy exactly as taught in a public video and ran it on NIFTY weekly, 2017-01 to 2026-10, with real charges. Our test: ₹17,861 after real costs. As taught, the rule netted about ₹17.9k per lot over nearly 10 years and lost about ₹18.5k since the Aug-2026 session change.

Net after costs
₹17,861
Win rate
41.7%
Worst drawdown
−₹28,098
Reality Score
31/100

The rules, as taught

Mark the high and low of the 14:55–15:00 5-min candle; if the next candle breaks the high by ~4 points buy a call, the low a put. Stop at the other end of the candle, skip candles larger than ~55 points, exit at 15:15. We assumed ATM strike, nearest expiry.

What the video claims, and what we found

Claim: Chart examples only; no P&L, win rate or period claimed.

Our signals matched the video on every example day shown; the option P&L on those days was mixed.

See the full results, charts and every trade

Questions people ask

Does the 14:55 candle breakout strategy work?

Not as taught, once real charges are included. As taught, the rule netted about ₹17.9k per lot over nearly 10 years and lost about ₹18.5k since the Aug-2026 session change. Tested on NIFTY weekly, 2017-01 to 2026-10, after real costs. Reality Score 31/100.

What is the win rate of the 14:55 candle breakout strategy after costs?

41.7% of 1,927 trades made money after real charges in our test (2017-01 to 2026-10). A high or low win rate alone says little; the net result was ₹17,861 with a worst drawdown of −₹28,098.

How much did it make or lose in the backtest?

Our test: ₹17,861 after real costs. Over 2017-01 to 2026-10 (1 lot), the net after charges was ₹17,861 and the worst fall from a peak was −₹28,098.

What exact rules were tested?

Mark the high and low of the 14:55–15:00 5-min candle; if the next candle breaks the high by ~4 points buy a call, the low a put. Stop at the other end of the candle, skip candles larger than ~55 points, exit at 15:15. We assumed ATM strike, nearest expiry.

How was the 14:55 candle breakout backtest done?

On 1-minute exchange data since 2017, signals filled at the next minute's open, with real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fee, stamp duty and GST, and the lot size of each date. Rules exactly as taught; gaps we had to fill are stated. Full method on our How we test page.

Run it yourself — coming soon

These rules use features our public backtester can't express exactly yet, so we won't pre-fill an approximation. Build your own idea in the meantime.

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