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First 30-second candle breakout backtest: does it work after costs?

We coded the first 30-second candle breakout strategy exactly as taught in a public video and ran it on NIFTY + SENSEX weekly, 2020-01 to 2026-10, with real charges. Our test: −₹62,800 after real costs. As taught on NIFTY the rule lost about ₹62.8k per lot from 2020 to 2026 despite a 59% win rate.

Net after costs
−₹62,800
Win rate
58.7%
Worst drawdown
−₹72,700
Reality Score
18/100

The rules, as taught

The 9:15:00–9:15:29 candle's colour picks an ATM call (green) or put (red); buy when the option breaks its own first-30-second high, target +10%, exit by 9:30, no stop stated. Taught for stock options; we applied it to the indices with instant fills on the break.

What the video claims, and what we found

Claim: Two winning stock-option examples; no backtest shown.

There is no total to compare; small +10% wins did not cover time-exit losses and costs. SENSEX (2024–26) also lost about ₹22.3k.

See the full results, charts and every trade

Questions people ask

Does the First 30-second candle breakout strategy work?

Not as taught, once real charges are included. As taught on NIFTY the rule lost about ₹62.8k per lot from 2020 to 2026 despite a 59% win rate. Tested on NIFTY + SENSEX weekly, 2020-01 to 2026-10, after real costs. Reality Score 18/100.

What is the win rate of the First 30-second candle breakout strategy after costs?

58.7% of 955 trades made money after real charges in our test (2020-01 to 2026-10). A high or low win rate alone says little; the net result was −₹62,800 with a worst drawdown of −₹72,700.

How much did it make or lose in the backtest?

Our test: −₹62,800 after real costs. Over 2020-01 to 2026-10 (1 lot (NIFTY)), the net after charges was −₹62,800 and the worst fall from a peak was −₹72,700.

What exact rules were tested?

The 9:15:00–9:15:29 candle's colour picks an ATM call (green) or put (red); buy when the option breaks its own first-30-second high, target +10%, exit by 9:30, no stop stated. Taught for stock options; we applied it to the indices with instant fills on the break.

How was the First 30-second candle breakout backtest done?

On 1-minute exchange data since 2017, signals filled at the next minute's open, with real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fee, stamp duty and GST, and the lot size of each date. Rules exactly as taught; gaps we had to fill are stated. Full method on our How we test page.

Run it yourself — coming soon

These rules use features our public backtester can't express exactly yet, so we won't pre-fill an approximation. Build your own idea in the meantime.

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