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Strong-candle breakout at set times

Option buying · NIFTY weekly · tested 2017-01 to 2026-10

The claim

About 3,000–4,000% simulated return (on index points; report not shown).

Our test, after costs

₹1.55 L

2017-01 to 2026-10 · 1 lot

As taught on NIFTY, the rule made about ₹1.55 lakh per lot from 2017 to Oct 2026 after costs, with 3 losing years.

71DECENT

Algrow Reality Score

25/40
claim
24/30
profit
22/30
steady
Net, full test
₹1.55 L
Worst drawdown
−₹45,980
Trades
835
Win rate
30.8%

Size: 1 lot.

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How our test compares with the video

The percentage claim cannot be checked (no report or capital shown, index points not option P&L); a real but modest edge exists on NIFTY, far smaller than the claim, and BANKNIFTY lost in 2025–26.

Worth knowing: Low win rate and long flat spells.

Equity curve — rules as taught, after costs2026-10-30 · ₹1.55 L · −₹3,834 from peak

Underwater: how far below its best point the account was

2017-01-06worst −₹45,9802026-10-30

If you had started with ₹1 lakh on…

Drag to pick a start date. Trading the video's rules at 1 lot, not compounded. Weekly points.

2017-01-06

You'd have today

₹2.57 L

Profit / loss

+₹1.57 L

Lowest point

₹69,029

Ouch: at the worst point you'd have been down 31%.

Year by year — tap to dig in

1 lot, rules as taught, after costs. Tap a year, then a month.

Monthly heatmap

JFMAMJJASOND
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026

Winning vs losing days

778 days with a position · about 20% green

−₹14k₹0₹14k+

BEST DAY

₹33,572

2019-09-20

WORST DAY

−₹5,389

2024-04-04

The rules we tested

On the 10:40, 10:50 and 14:55 5-min candles with a body ≥ 80% of range, a break of a green candle's high buys a 2-ITM call and a break of a red candle's low buys a 2-ITM put. Stop at the candle's other end on the index, no target, exit 15:15. We assumed the break must come on the next candle.

Method and Reality Score

Full method: how we test

1-min data, real broker charges incl. STT and taxes, 0.25% slippage.

  • 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
  • Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
  • Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
  • Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.

Reality Score (0–100) = claim match (up to 40: matches 40, partly 25, fails after costs 8, not reproduced 0) + after-cost profit (up to 30: zero if it loses; more when total profit is large versus the worst drawdown) + steadiness (up to 30: share of profitable years, plus 5 if the latest year made money).

Questions people ask

Does the Strong-candle breakout at set times strategy work?

Partly. As taught on NIFTY, the rule made about ₹1.55 lakh per lot from 2017 to Oct 2026 after costs, with 3 losing years. Tested on NIFTY weekly, 2017-01 to 2026-10, after real costs. Reality Score 71/100.

What is the win rate of the Strong-candle breakout at set times strategy after costs?

30.8% of 835 trades made money after real charges in our test (2017-01 to 2026-10). A high or low win rate alone says little; the net result was ₹1.55 L with a worst drawdown of −₹45,980.

How much did it make or lose in the backtest?

Our test: ₹1.55 L after real costs. Over 2017-01 to 2026-10 (1 lot), the net after charges was ₹1.55 L and the worst fall from a peak was −₹45,980.

What exact rules were tested?

On the 10:40, 10:50 and 14:55 5-min candles with a body ≥ 80% of range, a break of a green candle's high buys a 2-ITM call and a break of a red candle's low buys a 2-ITM put. Stop at the candle's other end on the index, no target, exit 15:15. We assumed the break must come on the next candle.

How was the Strong-candle breakout at set times backtest done?

On 1-minute exchange data since 2017, signals filled at the next minute's open, with real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fee, stamp duty and GST, and the lot size of each date. Rules exactly as taught; gaps we had to fill are stated. Full method on our How we test page.

Run it yourself — coming soon

These rules use features our public backtester can't express exactly yet, so we won't pre-fill an approximation. Build your own idea in the meantime.

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Send the link or vote on the queue. We code it as taught and publish what we find.

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