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15-min RSI(9) credit spreads

Option selling · NIFTY weekly · tested 2019-02 to 2026-10

The claim

₹1.69 L

Yearly profits of about ₹48k (2021), ₹18k (2022), ₹20k (2023), ₹35k (2024) and ₹47.5k (2025) on ₹80k–1 L margin.

Reality, same dates, after costs

−₹21,622

2021-01 to 2025-12 · 0% of the claim found

Even with no costs we could not get near the claimed 2022–24 profits; after real costs the rules lost about ₹38k overall and money again in 2026.

9BUSTED

Algrow Reality Score

0/40
claim
0/30
profit
9/30
steady
Net, full test
−₹37,873
Worst drawdown
−₹78,500
Trades
—
Win rate
42.0%

Size: 1 lot, lot size of the day.

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How our test compares with the video

Before costs at their lot size we got +₹30.7k, −₹1.1k, −₹4.1k, +₹0.6k and +₹23.8k for 2021–25 vs their +₹48k, +₹18k, +₹20k, +₹35k and +₹47.5k. We tried 13 different readings of the rules; none came close to the 2022–24 figures.

Worth knowing: The 30% stop on a ₹20–35 premium is hit on more than half the trades. None of 120 rule variations we checked made money in 2026.

Equity curve — rules as taught, after costs2026-10-30 · −₹37,872 · −₹68,711 from peak

Underwater: how far below its best point the account was

2019-02-15worst −₹77,8692026-10-30

If you had started with ₹1 lakh on…

Drag to pick a start date. Trading the video's rules at 1 lot, lot size of the day, not compounded. Weekly points.

2019-02-15

You'd have today

₹61,682

Profit / loss

−₹38,318

Lowest point

₹52,523

Ouch: at the worst point you'd have been down 47%.

Year by year — tap to dig in

1 lot, rules as taught, after costs. Tap a year, then a month.

Monthly heatmap

JFMAMJJASOND
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026

Winning vs losing days

1,892 days with a position · about 48% green

−₹3k₹0₹3k+

BEST DAY

₹4,603

2020-03-25

WORST DAY

−₹8,657

2020-03-27

The rules we tested

RSI(9) on 15-minute NIFTY with 60/40 bands. Above 60: sell the ~0.20-delta weekly put and buy the put 1,000 points further out; below 40: the call version. No entry before 09:30 or after 14:45, exit 15:15. 30% stop on the short option's premium or reverse on the opposite signal, with one re-entry after a stop.

Method and Reality Score

Full method: how we test

15-minute close decides, next minute's open fills; stop on the short leg's 1-minute high, gaps through the stop fill at the open; broker charges incl. STT and taxes and 0.25% slippage.

  • 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
  • Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
  • Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
  • Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.

Reality Score (0–100) = claim match (up to 40: matches 40, partly 25, fails after costs 8, not reproduced 0) + after-cost profit (up to 30: zero if it loses; more when total profit is large versus the worst drawdown) + steadiness (up to 30: share of profitable years, plus 5 if the latest year made money).

Questions people ask

Does the 15-min RSI credit spreads strategy work?

We could not reproduce the claimed result. Even with no costs we could not get near the claimed 2022–24 profits; after real costs the rules lost about ₹38k overall and money again in 2026. Tested on NIFTY weekly, 2019-02 to 2026-10, after real costs. Reality Score 9/100.

What is the win rate of the 15-min RSI credit spreads strategy after costs?

42.0% of trades made money after real charges in our test (2019-02 to 2026-10). A high or low win rate alone says little; the net result was −₹37,873 with a worst drawdown of −₹78,500.

How much did it make or lose in the backtest?

Claimed ₹1.69 L. Reality −₹21,622. Over 2019-02 to 2026-10 (1 lot, lot size of the day), the net after charges was −₹37,873 and the worst fall from a peak was −₹78,500.

What exact rules were tested?

RSI(9) on 15-minute NIFTY with 60/40 bands. Above 60: sell the ~0.20-delta weekly put and buy the put 1,000 points further out; below 40: the call version. No entry before 09:30 or after 14:45, exit 15:15. 30% stop on the short option's premium or reverse on the opposite signal, with one re-entry after a stop.

How was the 15-min RSI credit spreads backtest done?

On 1-minute exchange data since 2017, signals filled at the next minute's open, with real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fee, stamp duty and GST, and the lot size of each date. Rules exactly as taught; gaps we had to fill are stated. Full method on our How we test page.

Run it yourself — coming soon

These rules use features our public backtester can't express exactly yet, so we won't pre-fill an approximation. Build your own idea in the meantime.

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