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Supertrend + Bollinger + RSI call buying

Option buying · BANKNIFTY weekly · tested 2017-01 to 2024-01

The claim

About ₹5.25 lakh over 2017 – Jan 2024 with ~₹17.5k max drawdown (590 trades, 47% win).

Our test, after costs

—

2017-01 to 2024-01 · 1 lot (historic lot sizes)

Trades, win rate and drawdown reproduced over the video's period before costs, but the rules lose money in 2026.

45SHAKY

Algrow Reality Score

25/40
claim
10/30
profit
10/30
steady
Net, full test
—
Worst drawdown
−₹18,033
Trades
639
Win rate
46.9%

Size: 1 lot (historic lot sizes).

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How our test compares with the video

Before costs we got 639 trades, 46.9% win and −₹18.0k drawdown vs their 590, 47.3% and −₹17.5k; P&L ₹3.44 lakh vs ₹5.25 lakh, likely due to lot-size convention.

Worth knowing: We have no after-cost total for the exact rules over the full history, so no rupee figure is shown.

The rules we tested

On 3-min BANKNIFTY futures, buy a call near ₹300 when a candle closes above Supertrend, above the upper Bollinger band (20,2), above daily pivot R1, with RSI(14) > 70. Exit on a close below Supertrend or the band middle, or at 15:22; entries 9:25–14:00. We assumed weekly expiry and nearest-₹300 strike.

Method and Reality Score

Full method: how we test

1-min data resampled to 3-min, real broker charges incl. STT and taxes, 0.25% slippage for the after-cost checks.

  • 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
  • Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
  • Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
  • Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.

Reality Score (0–100) = claim match (up to 40: matches 40, partly 25, fails after costs 8, not reproduced 0) + after-cost profit (up to 30: zero if it loses; more when total profit is large versus the worst drawdown) + steadiness (up to 30: share of profitable years, plus 5 if the latest year made money).

Questions people ask

Does the Supertrend + Bollinger + RSI call buying strategy work?

Partly. Trades, win rate and drawdown reproduced over the video's period before costs, but the rules lose money in 2026. Tested on BANKNIFTY weekly, 2017-01 to 2024-01, after real costs. Reality Score 45/100.

What is the win rate of the Supertrend + Bollinger + RSI call buying strategy after costs?

46.9% of 639 trades made money after real charges in our test (2017-01 to 2024-01). A high or low win rate alone says little; the net result was — with a worst drawdown of −₹18,033.

How much did it make or lose in the backtest?

Partly holds. Over 2017-01 to 2024-01 (1 lot (historic lot sizes)), the net after charges was — and the worst fall from a peak was −₹18,033.

What exact rules were tested?

On 3-min BANKNIFTY futures, buy a call near ₹300 when a candle closes above Supertrend, above the upper Bollinger band (20,2), above daily pivot R1, with RSI(14) > 70. Exit on a close below Supertrend or the band middle, or at 15:22; entries 9:25–14:00. We assumed weekly expiry and nearest-₹300 strike.

How was the Supertrend + Bollinger + RSI call buying backtest done?

On 1-minute exchange data since 2017, signals filled at the next minute's open, with real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fee, stamp duty and GST, and the lot size of each date. Rules exactly as taught; gaps we had to fill are stated. Full method on our How we test page.

Run it yourself — coming soon

These rules use features our public backtester can't express exactly yet, so we won't pre-fill an approximation. Build your own idea in the meantime.

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