HALF TRUE
SENSEX opening premium range breakout
Option buying · SENSEX weekly · tested 2024-05 to 2026-10
The claim
About ₹1 L gross over roughly one year (Dec 2023–Dec 2024), 188 trades, 48% wins, max drawdown about ₹9.6k.
Our test, after costs
₹1.36 L
2024-05 to 2026-10 · 1 lot (10→20 units)
From May 2024 to Oct 2026 the as-taught rules made about ₹1.36 L per lot, but 2025 lost money and the drawdown was about ₹50k.
Algrow Reality Score
- 25/40
- claim
- 21/30
- profit
- 22/30
- steady
- Net, full test
- ₹1.36 L
- Worst drawdown
- −₹50,277
- Trades
- 556
- Win rate
- 44.0%
Size: 1 lot (10→20 units).
How our test compares with the video
Our data overlaps only Jun–Dec 2024: 4 of 7 months matched closely and win rate and drawdown matched, but the total was ₹28.7k vs about ₹47.5k.
Worth knowing: Much of the profit came from one volatile stretch in early 2026 (March 2026 alone about ₹53k).
Underwater: how far below its best point the account was
If you had started with ₹1 lakh on…
Drag to pick a start date. Trading the video's rules at 1 lot (10→20 units), not compounded. Weekly points.
2024-05-31
You'd have today
₹2.40 L
Profit / loss
+₹1.40 L
Lowest point
₹95,868
Honest note: ₹1 lakh may be less than the margin this needs; the result is in rupees per lot, not a % return.
Year by year — tap to dig in
1 lot, rules as taught, after costs. Tap a year, then a month.
Monthly heatmap
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2026 |
Winning vs losing days
497 days with a position · about 55% green
BEST DAY
₹21,354
2025-04-17
WORST DAY
−₹9,976
2025-01-21
The rules we tested
At 09:30 pick the ATM call and put; each leg's range is its premium high from 09:30 to 11:00, and the leg is bought on a break of that high. Stop 35% below entry, trailed 0.75% per 1% move, exit 15:15; we assumed a last entry at 15:00 and ATM by the cash index.
Method and Reality Score
1-minute option data (SENSEX options from May 2024), buy-stop at the range high, broker charges incl. STT and taxes, 0.25% slippage per order.
- 1-minute historical NSE/BSE option and futures data; each video's rules coded exactly as taught, with stated assumptions where the video left a gap.
- Signals on a candle's close are filled at the next minute's open (unless the rules say otherwise); stops and targets are checked against each minute's high and low.
- Real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, stamp duty and GST deducted on every order; lot size as it was on each trade date.
- Results are per lot unless stated. No leverage, compounding or position sizing beyond the video's own rules.
Reality Score (0–100) = claim match (up to 40: matches 40, partly 25, fails after costs 8, not reproduced 0) + after-cost profit (up to 30: zero if it loses; more when total profit is large versus the worst drawdown) + steadiness (up to 30: share of profitable years, plus 5 if the latest year made money).
Questions people ask
Does the SENSEX opening premium range breakout strategy work?
Partly. From May 2024 to Oct 2026 the as-taught rules made about ₹1.36 L per lot, but 2025 lost money and the drawdown was about ₹50k. Tested on SENSEX weekly, 2024-05 to 2026-10, after real costs. Reality Score 68/100.
What is the win rate of the SENSEX opening premium range breakout strategy after costs?
44.0% of 556 trades made money after real charges in our test (2024-05 to 2026-10). A high or low win rate alone says little; the net result was ₹1.36 L with a worst drawdown of −₹50,277.
How much did it make or lose in the backtest?
Our test: ₹1.36 L after real costs. Over 2024-05 to 2026-10 (1 lot (10→20 units)), the net after charges was ₹1.36 L and the worst fall from a peak was −₹50,277.
What exact rules were tested?
At 09:30 pick the ATM call and put; each leg's range is its premium high from 09:30 to 11:00, and the leg is bought on a break of that high. Stop 35% below entry, trailed 0.75% per 1% move, exit 15:15; we assumed a last entry at 15:00 and ATM by the cash index.
How was the SENSEX opening premium range breakout backtest done?
On 1-minute exchange data since 2017, signals filled at the next minute's open, with real broker charges, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fee, stamp duty and GST, and the lot size of each date. Rules exactly as taught; gaps we had to fill are stated. Full method on our How we test page.
Run it yourself
Opens our backtester with this video's rules as taught, ready to run. Change dates or stops and see what happens. Default charges are used, so totals can differ a little from this page.
Open with these rules
Got another video?
Send the link or vote on the queue. We code it as taught and publish what we find.
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